Waxqabadka Shiinaha ee soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta labadii bilood ee ugu horreeyay sanadkan wuxuu ahaa mid aad uga sarreeya rajada suuqa, gaar ahaan tan iyo 1995, sida lagu sheegay xogta uu soo saaray Maamulka Guud ee Kastamka 7-dii March. Intaa waxaa dheer, ganacsiga Shiinaha ee la-hawlgalayaasha ganacsi ee waaweyn ayaa aad u kordhay. taas oo muujinaysa in Shiinaha uu ku milmay dhaqaalaha adduunku uu sii qoto dheereeyay.Wakaaladda wararka ee Reuters ayaa soo warisay in Shiinuhu uu si guul ah u xakameeyey cudurka, iyo amarada agabka ka hortagga cudurrada ee dibadda ay sii socdeen.Hirgelinta tillaabooyinka go'doominta guriga ee dalal badan ayaa horseeday dillaaca dalabka alaabooyinka gudaha iyo elektiroonigga ah ee macaamiisha, taas oo horseeday furitaanka ganacsiga Shiinaha ee Shiinaha 2021. Si kastaba ha noqotee, Maamulka Guud ee kastamku wuxuu sidoo kale tilmaamay in xaaladda dhaqaalaha adduunka ay tahay qalafsan oo daran, iyo ganacsiga dibadda ee Shiinaha waxa uu leeyahay waddo dheer.

Heerka kobaca ugu dhaqsaha badan ee dhoofinta ilaa 1995

Sida laga soo xigtay xogta maamulka guud ee kastamka, wadarta qiimaha ganacsiga badeecadaha Shiinaha soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta labadii bilood ee ugu horeysay sanadkan waa 5.44 trillion yuan, korodhka 32.2% isla muddadaas sannadkii hore.Waxaa ka mid ah, dhoofinta 3.06 trillion yuan, ilaa 50.1%;soo dejinta waxay ahayd 2.38 trillion yuan, ilaa 14.5%.Qiimaha ayaa lagu qiimeeyaa doolarka Mareykanka, iyadoo wadarta guud ee soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta Shiinaha ay kordheen 41.2% labadii bilood ee la soo dhaafay.Waxaa ka mid ah, dhoofinta ayaa kordhay 60.6%, soo dejinta kor u kacday 22.2%, iyo dhoofinta ayaa kordhay 154% bishii Febraayo.AFP waxay ku nuuxnuuxsatay warbixinteeda in ay ahayd heerka kobaca ugu dhaqsaha badan ee khibradda dhoofinta Shiinaha tan iyo 1995kii.

ASEAN, EU, Maraykanka iyo Japan waa afarta ganacsi ee ugu waaweyn Shiinaha laga bilaabo Jannaayo ilaa Febraayo, iyadoo heerka kobaca ganacsiga ee 32.9%, 39.8%, 69.6% iyo 27.4% ee RMB siday u kala horreeyaan.Sida laga soo xigtay maamulka guud ee kastamka, wax soo saarka Shiinaha ee Maraykanka ayaa gaadhay 525.39 bilyan yuan, kor u kac ah boqolkiiba 75.1 labadii bilood ee la soo dhaafay, halka dakhliga ganacsiga ee Maraykanka uu ahaa 33.44 bilyan yuan, korodhka 88.2 boqolkiiba.Isla muddadaas sannadkii hore, soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta u dhaxaysa Shiinaha iyo Maraykanka ayaa hoos u dhacay 19.6 boqolkiiba.

Guud ahaan, Miisaanka soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta Shiinaha ee labadii bilood ee ugu horreysay sanadkan kaliya kama foga isla xilligii sannadkii hore, balse waxa kale oo uu kordhay ilaa 20% marka la barbar dhigo isla muddadaas 2018 iyo 2019 ka hor inta aanu dillaacin.Huojianguo, oo ah ku xigeenka madaxa Ururka Cilmi-baarista ee Ururka Ganacsiga Adduunka ee Shiinaha, ayaa u sheegay waqtiyada adduunka 7-dii Maarso in soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta Shiinaha ay hoos u dhacday labadii bilood ee ugu horreysay sannadkii hore sababo la xiriira saameynta cudurka.Iyadoo lagu salaynayo heerka hoose, xogta soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta ee sanadkan waa inay lahaataa waxqabad wanaagsan, laakiin xogta uu soo saaray Maamulka Guud ee Kastamka ayaa wali ka badan sidii la filayay.

Dhoofinta Shiinaha ayaa sare u kacday labadii bilood ee ugu horreeyay sanadkan, taasoo ka tarjumaysa baahida xooggan ee caalamiga ah ee badeecadaha la soo saaro, waxayna ka faa'iideysteen hoos u dhaca saldhigga sababo la xiriira hoos u dhac dhaqaale ee isla muddadaas sannadkii hore, falanqaynta Bloomberg ayaa sidaas sheegtay.Maamulka Guud ee Kastamku wuxuu aaminsan yahay in ganacsiga dibadda ee Shiinaha ee soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta dhoofinta labada bilood ee ugu horreeya ay caddahay, "aan daciifin xilli-xilliyeedka", taas oo sii socota dib u soo kabashada degdegga ah tan iyo bishii Juun ee sannadkii hore.Waxaa ka mid ah, kororka baahida shisheeye ee ka dhalatay soo kabashada wax soo saarka iyo isticmaalka dhaqaalaha Yurub iyo Ameerika ayaa horseeday kobaca badeecadaha Shiinaha.

Korodhka weyn ee soo dejinta alaabta ceeriin ee muhiimka ah

Dhaqaalaha gudaha ayaa si isdaba joog ah u soo kabanayay, PMI ee warshadaha wax soo saarka ayaa ku socda khadka barwaaqada oo engegan muddo 12 bilood ah.Shirkaddu waxay aad ugu rajo weyn tahay rajada mustaqbalka, taas oo kor u qaadeysa soo dejinta wareegyada isku dhafan, alaabta tamarta tamarta sida wareegga isku dhafan, macdanta birta iyo saliidda ceeriin.Si kastaba ha ahaatee, isbeddelka ba'an ee qiimaha caalamiga ah ee badeecadaha ee qaybaha kala duwan ayaa sidoo kale keena isbeddel weyn oo ku yimaada qiimaha mugga badeecadaha marka Shiinuhu soo dejiyo.

Sida laga soo xigtay xogta maamulka guud ee kastamka, labadii bilood ee ugu horeysay ee sanadkan, Shiinuhu wuxuu soo dhoofiyay 82 milyan oo tan oo birta ah, korodhka 2.8%, celceliska qiimaha soo dejinta ee 942.1 yuan, ilaa 46.7%;Saliida ceyriinka ah ee la soo dejiyo ayaa gaadhay 89.568 milyan oo tan, korodhka 4.1%, celceliska qiimaha soo dejinta waxa uu ahaa 2470.5 yuan halkii ton, hoos 27.5%, taas oo keentay in 24.6% hoos u dhac ku yimaado wadarta guud ee la soo dejiyo.

Xiisadda saadka sahayda caalamiga ah waxay sidoo kale saamaysay Shiinaha.Sida laga soo xigtay Maamulka Guud ee Kastamka, Shiinuhu wuxuu soo dhoofiyay 96.4 bilyan oo wareegyo isku dhafan labadii bilood ee ugu horreeyay sanadkan, iyada oo wadarta qiimaha ay tahay 376.16 bilyan yuan, iyada oo kor u kac weyn oo ah 36% iyo 25.9% tiro iyo qadar ah marka la barbar dhigo isla isku mid ah. muddada sannadkii hore.

Dhanka Dhoofinta, iyadoo ay ugu wacan tahay in cudurka faafa ee adduunka uusan weli dillaacin isla muddadaas sannadkii hore, dhoofinta agabka iyo agabka caafimaadka ee Shiinaha labadii bilood ee ugu horreysay sannadkan waxay ahayd 18.29 bilyan yuan, koror weyn. 63.8% marka la barbar dhigo isla muddadaas sannadkii hore.Intaa waxaa dheer, sababtoo ah Shiinaha ayaa hogaanka u qabtay xakamaynta wax ku oolka ah ee COVID-19, soo kabashada iyo soo saarista taleefanka gacanta ayaa ahaa mid wanaagsan, dhoofinta taleefoonnada gacanta, qalabka guryaha iyo baabuurta ayaa aad kor ugu kacay.Waxaa ka mid ah dhoofinta talefannada gacanta oo kordhay 50%, dhoofinta qalabka guryaha iyo baabuurta ayaa gaadhay 80% iyo 90% siday u kala horreeyaan.

Huojianguo wuxuu falanqeeyay waqtiyada caalamiga ah in dhaqaalaha Shiinaha uu sii waday inuu soo hagaago, kalsoonida suuqana dib loo soo celiyo iyo wax soo saarka ganacsigu uu ahaa mid wanaagsan, sidaas darteed soo iibsiga alaabta ceeriin ee muhiimka ah ayaa si weyn loo kordhiyay.Intaa waxaa dheer, sababtoo ah xaaladda cudurka faafa ee dibedda ayaa weli sii faafaya oo awoodda aan dib loo soo celin karin, Shiinuhu wuxuu sii wadaa inuu ciyaaro doorka saldhigga wax soo saarka caalamiga ah, isagoo siinaya taageero xooggan soo kabashada cudurka faafa ee caalamiga ah.

Xaaladda dibadda weli waa murugo

Maamulka Guud ee Kastamka Shiinaha ayaa aaminsan in ganacsiga shisheeye ee Shiinaha uu albaabada u furay labadii bilood ee la soo dhaafay, kaas oo u furay bilow wanaagsan sanadka oo dhan.Sahanku wuxuu muujinayaa in amarada dhoofinta ee shirkadaha dhoofinta Shiinaha ay kordheen sannadihii la soo dhaafay, taasoo muujinaysa rajooyin rajo leh oo ku saabsan xaaladda dhoofinta bilaha 2-3 ee soo socda.Bloomberg waxay aaminsan tahay in dhoofinta sare ee Shiinaha ay gacan ka geysatay taageerada ka soo kabashada Shiinaha ee cudurka V-qaabeeya iyo in Shiinaha laga dhigo dalka keliya ee koraya ee dhaqaalaha ugu weyn adduunka 2020.

Bishii Maarso 5, warbixinta shaqada dowladda ayaa sheegtay in yoolka kobaca dhaqaalaha Shiinaha ee 2021 la dejiyay in ka badan 6 boqolkiiba.Huojianguo ayaa sheegay in dhoofinta Shiinaha ay aad u korodhay labadii bilood ee la soo dhaafay sababtoo ah xaqiiqda ah in dhoofinta lagu daray GDP, taasoo aasaas adag u ah xaqiijinta yoolka sanadka oo dhan.

Novel coronavirus pneumonia ayaa sidoo kale ku faafaya adduunka oo dhan, iyo arrimaha aan xasilloonayn iyo kuwa aan la hubin ee xaaladda caalamiga ah ayaa sii kordhaya.Xaaladda dhaqaale ee adduunku waa mid adag oo daran.Ganacsiga dibadda ee Shiinaha ayaa wali si tartiib tartiib ah u koraya.Huweijun, oo ah madaxa dhaqaalaha Shiinaha ee Macquarie, oo ah hay'ad maaliyadeed, ayaa saadaalisay in kobaca dhoofinta Shiinaha uu hoos u dhici doono bilaha soo socda ee sanadkan iyadoo wadamada horumaray ay bilaabeen inay dib u bilaabaan wax soo saarka warshadaha.

"Waxyaabaha saameeya dhoofinta Shiinaha waxay noqon kartaa in ka dib markii xaaladda cudurka si wax ku ool ah loo xakameeyo, awoodda caalamiga ah ayaa dib loo soo celiyay, dhoofinta Shiinahana waxaa laga yaabaa inay hoos u dhacdo."Falanqaynta Huojianguo ayaa sheegtay in maadaama uu yahay dalka ugu wax soo saarka badan adduunka muddo 11 sano ah oo isku xigta, silsiladda warshadeed ee dhammaystiran ee Shiinaha iyo hufnaanta wax-soo-saarka ee tartankeedu sareeyo aanay ka dhigi doonin wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha inuu si weyn isu beddelo sannadka 2021-ka.