Waqtigan xaadirka ah, xaaladda cudurka faafa ee adduunku weli waa mid daran, oo ay weheliyaan arrimo ay ka mid yihiin silsiladaha sahayda oo ciriiri ah iyo kor u kaca qiimaha cuntada iyo tamarta, heerka guud ee sicir bararka dalal badan oo horumaray ayaa loo riixay heerkii ugu sarreeyay muddo toban sano ah.Tiro khubaro ah oo awood leh ayaa aaminsan in dhaqaalaha adduunku uu galay "xilli kharash badan" oo muujinaya xaalad "lix sare"
Kharashka ilaalinta caafimaadka oo kordhay.Tang Jianwei, oo ah madaxa cilmi-baarista ee Xarunta Cilmi-baarista Maaliyadeed ee Isgaarsiinta Bankiga, ayaa aaminsan in marka la eego muddada gaaban, cudurku wuxuu horseeday hoos u dhac ku yimaada wax soo saarka alaabooyinka asaasiga ah, xannibaadda saadka iyo ganacsiga caalamiga ah, yaraanta sahayda warshadaha. badeecooyinka iyo qiimaha kor u kaca.Xitaa haddii ay xaaladdu si tartiib tartiib ah u soo raynayso, ka hortagga iyo xakamaynta cudurrada faafa iyo fiditaanka cudurrada faafa ayaa weli ahaan doona caadada.Liu Yuanchun, oo ah gudoomiye ku xigeenka Jaamacadda Renmin ee Shiinaha, ayaa sheegay in caadi ka noqoshada ka hortagga iyo xakameynta faafitaanka ay hubaal ahaan kordhin doonto kharashka ilaalinta iyo kharashka caafimaadka.Qiimahani waa sida "9.11"weerarkii argagixisanimo ee si toos ah u horseeday kor u kaca qiimaha amniga caalamiga ah.
Kharashaadka kheyraadka aadanaha ayaa kordha.Sida lagu sheegay warbixin cilmi-baadhis ah oo uu soo saaray shirka dhaqaalaha Shiinaha ee Macroeconomic Forum 26-kii March, ka dib markii uu cudurku dillaacay sannadkii 2020, suuqa shaqada ee adduunka waxa ku dhacay isbeddello waaweyn, gaar ahaan waddamada horumaray, waxana sare u kacday shaqo la’aanta.Iyadoo horumarinta joogtada ah ee cudurka faafa iyo isbeddelada siyaasadaha ka hortagga cudurrada faafa ee qaranka, heerka shaqo la'aanta ayaa hoos u dhacay.Si kastaba ha ahaatee, geedi socodka, si kastaba ha ahaatee, hoos u dhaca heerka ka qaybgalka xoogga shaqaalaha ayaa abuuray shaqaale yaraan heerar kala duwan oo warshado kala duwan ah, oo ay la socoto mushahar kordhin.Maraykanka, tusaale ahaan, mushaharka saacadaha magacaaban ayaa kor u kacay 6% bishii Abriil 2020, marka la barbar dhigo celceliska mushaharka 2019, oo uu kordhay 10.7% laga bilaabo Janaayo 2022.
Qiimaha deglobalization ayaa kordhay.Liu Yuanchun ayaa sheegay in tan iyo khilaafkii ganacsiga ee Shiinaha iyo Mareykanka, dhammaan dalalku ay ka fiirsadeen habka dhaqameed ee nidaamka shaqada, taas oo ah, dhismaha silsiladda sahayda iyo silsiladda qiimaha leh ee qaybinta tooska ah ee shaqada oo ah qaybta ugu muhiimsan ee hore, iyo dunidu waa in ay fiiro gaar ah u yeelato badbaadada halkii ay ka ahaan lahayd waxtarka saafiga ah.Sidaa darteed, dhammaan waddamadu waxay dhisayaan wareegyo gudaha ah oo u gaar ah waxayna dejinayaan qorshooyinka "taayirka firaaqada" ee tignoolajiyada muhiimka ah iyo tignoolajiyada asaasiga ah, taasoo keentay hoos u dhac ku yimaada waxtarka qoondaynta kheyraadka caalamiga ah iyo korodhka kharashka.Khubarada sida Zhang Jun, madaxa dhaqaalaha Morgan Stanley Securities, Wang Jun, madaxa dhaqaalaha ee Zhongyuan Bank, ayaa aaminsan in haddii ay tahay heerka dhimashada sare ee ay sababtay yaraanta caalamiga ah ee maaskaro iyo hawo-mareenada marxaladda hore ee cudurka, ama wax soo saarka talefannada gacanta iyo baabuurta oo ay sababto yaraanta chips-ka dambe Hoos u dhaca ama hakinta wax-soo-saarku waxa ay daaha ka fayday habacsanaanta shaqadan caalamiga ah ee ku salaysan mabda'a wanaagsan ee Pareto, dalalkuna hadda ma tixgaliyaan xakamaynta kharashka oo ah tixgalinta koowaad. qaabeynta silsiladda sahayda caalamiga ah.

Kharashaadka kala-guurka cagaaran ayaa kordha.Khubaradu waxay rumaysan yihiin in ka dib "Heshiiska Paris", heshiisyada bartilmaameedka ah ee "kaarboonka ugu sarreeya" iyo "dhexdhexaadnimada kaarboonka" ee ay saxiixeen wadamo kala duwan ayaa dunida u horseeday isbedel cusub oo cagaar ah.Kala-guurka cagaaran ee tamarta mustaqbalka ayaa kor u qaadi doona qiimaha tamarta dhaqameed ee hal dhinac, iyo kordhinta maalgashiga tamarta cusub ee cagaaran dhinaca kale, taas oo kor u qaadi doonta qiimaha tamarta cagaaran.Inkasta oo horumarinta tamarta cusub ee la cusboonaysiin karo ay gacan ka geysan karto yareynta cadaadiska muddada-dheer ee qiimaha tamarta, miisaanka tamarta la cusboonaysiin karo waa ay adag tahay in la daboolo baahida tamarta caalamiga ah ee sii kordheysa muddada gaaban, waxaana weli jiri doona cadaadis kor u kaca oo ku saabsan isbeddelka qiimaha tamarta xilliga dhow iyo kan dhexe.

Kharashyada juqraafiga ah ayaa kor u kacay.Khubaro ay ka mid yihiin Liu Xiaochun, ku xigeenka madaxa Machadka Shiinaha ee Cilmi-baarista Maaliyadeed ee Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Zhang Liqun, oo ah cilmi-baare ka tirsan Waaxda Cilmi-baarista Dhaqaalaha Macro-dhaqaale ee Xarunta Cilmi-baarista Horumarinta ee Golaha Gobolka iyo khubarada kale ayaa aaminsan in hadda, khatarta geopolitical ay yihiin. si tartiib tartiib ah u kordheysa, kaas oo si weyn u saameeyay siyaasadda iyo dhaqaalaha adduunka, iyo sahayda tamarta iyo badeecadaha.Silsiladuhu waxay noqonayaan kuwo jilicsan, kharashka gaadiidkuna aad buu u kordhayaa.Intaa waxaa dheer, sii xumaanshaha xaaladaha juqraafiyeed sida iskahorimaadka Ruushka iyo Yukreeniyaan ayaa horseeday in tiro badan oo ka mid ah kheyraadka aadanaha iyo kuwa maadiga ah loo isticmaalo dagaallo iyo colaado siyaasadeed halkii ay ka ahaan lahaayeen waxqabadyo wax soo saar leh.Qiimahani shaki la'aan waa mid aad u weyn.